Е.Н. Ведута выступила экспертом в программе «Время покажет» на Первом телеканале (14.03.2017)
Е.Н. Ведута выступила в программе «Время покажет» на Первом телеканале (14.03.2017)
Е.Н. Ведута выступила экспертом в программе «Время покажет» (13.02.2017)
Е.Н. Ведута. Economic cyber system is an essential tool of the military-industrial complex sustainable development
Economic cyber system is an essential tool of the military-industrial complex sustainable development.
Inflation, as a tool of redistribution of income and property for the benefit of the global financial oligarchy (GFO), starting from the First World War, acquires the universal and chronic character. The global crisis is developing according to the phases of "inflation - deflation" cycle, periodically interrupted by the military actions. The galloping rate of inflation is usually observed in the pre-war, war and post-war periods and are used for the recovery of economy. During the period of financial stabilization (deflation or slow inflation) IFI creates a new international monetary system with key (reserve) currency of the countries, where the MFI is particularly based, for "peaceful" trade, i.e. the exchange of the "drawn" currency to income and property of the countries whose currencies are not key.
This process is served by the monetary and institutional theories, as well as the parties supporting a galloping inflation in order to launch the "points of growth" (the Patriots), or trying to keep the rate of inflation (the Liberals). The names of the parties do not matter. The main thing is that there are discussions on the reform of economy, interest rates, taxes, prices, currencies, social costs, etc. As a rule, for the theorists that are serving this process production is a "black box", the problem of proportional development of the economy is ignored.
In the late 20-ies the strategic planning of production relationships in order to accelerate the development of industry was initiated for the first time in the Soviet Union in the framework of the course of industrialization as the way out of the crisis. It was an iterative process of harmonization of planned "input-output" calculations at all hierarchy levels for the effective implementation of development of "Corporation USSR." This experience was also used by the Roosevelt team that basically included practitioner, to exit from the Great Depression in the early 30s, as well as countries in Europe, Asia and Latin America for economic recovery in the 50-ies.
Starting from the 50s the Soviet Union began to reform the economy, implementing the growing chaos in the planning mechanism, which stopped in 1991 with the collapse of the country and the destruction of the State Planning Commission that was hardly supporting the stagnant economy. The country needed to improve the management through the transfer to a fundamentally new technology of economic cyber system (cyber economics) that ensured the effective use of modern computer tools (IT) in optimization of management decisions.
The core of cyber economics is the dynamic model of inter-sectoral, inter-branch balance (MIIB), that coordinates the production relations in the direction of maximizing of final product growth rate in the structure, ordered by final consumers (government, household, exporters) through the effective implementation of scientific and technological achievements. Implementation of cyber economics means for the country (the international community) the way to the main of the sustainable growth of quality of life.
It should be noted that the withdrawal from the strategy "inflation-deflation" is impossible without the economic management, based on the planning of production relationships. Management of the economy, as well as the technique, requires the knowledge of objective economic laws (cost, time economy and balanced development, accumulation, production costs, etc.), for the construction of crisis-free development mechanism. They were researched in the Marx's reproduction theory. Probably for this reason, in the 90-ies in our country the "Capital" was thrown out of the academic disciplines and was subjected to criticism from the side of the ideologues who simply drowned the problems in empty talk. By the way, the primacy of the ideologues who run chaos into the economy, over the practitioners and organizers of production, first appeared in the mid-50s and reached its peak after the collapse of the USSR together with the rejection of "Capital" and economic planning.
Reforming of Russia's economy transformed it into the raw outsider dependent on the world oil prices, that has especially negative impact on the development of many of the "unprofitable" branches of the military-industrial complex (MIC), especially the machine-tool construction. No attempts to form the state MIC development goal-oriented program, the implementation of individual proposals on the prices of its products, including depreciation, cost, life cycle, the calculation of enterprises capacity, etc. without the single plan for sustainable development of the national economy does not help to ensure the necessary development of MIC. The so-called definition of "bottlenecks" is impossible without the state economic planning. The substitution of plan by some (what?) other methods of selection of investment projects means the substitution of an objective calculation of proportionality of MIC sectors for implementation of the state defense order in time by the subjective distribution of allocated budgetary funds in the interests of the participants of this process.
Today, the global crisis threatens to be completed by the third world war. The existence of nuclear arsenal in Russia " hinders" the IFI to use military actions to settle the crisis. Therefore, the choice was made in favor of continuing "cold war" with the full confidence that Russia "would die" is itself under the weight of the growing economic problems.
It must be admitted that the Russian president is well aware of the necessity to find a new ideology for Russia, which will assert the primacy of economics over politics, and the necessity of the engineer who knows the economy to be put in the forefront of the country. However, due to the dominance of the surrounding ideologues who almost strangled the economic education in the country and a variety of "IT people", simulating the informational chaos, it is difficult to change the country's course that brings it to disaster. As a historical experience shows, the creation of a team that includes the organizers of production, "IT people", and systematic thinking economists who know the "Capital" and planning, that is responsible for the implementation and improvement of cyber economics is required.
The sharp steps are not necessary during the transition to cyber economics in Russia; this process assumes the establishment of collection and regulation of economic information in order to solve the planning "input-output" problems. The government, that is trying to do its best in holding back the increasing speed of inflation, cannot be changed to "Patriots", whose aim is to launch the rapid inflation. Otherwise, the country will fall into condition of "war capitalism" very quickly, without a future and with forgotten history of its great past. I think that this is the objective of the "cold war" strategy that was built in the mid-50s for the destruction of planning, and then it continued after the breakup of the Soviet Union in the "inflation-deflation" cycle for the breakup of Russia.
Spontaneous informatization and digitalization of the world economy, that can be found in in the unreliability of indicators of UN national accounts, IMF balance of payments methods and international comparisons of the World Bank, the isolation of mathematical models from the practical management needs for forecasting and planning the world (regional) economy, the introduction of IT, that facilitates the calculations in the information chaos and reinforces it, lead civilization to disaster.
Today, however, the world is rather different and the recent elections in the United States showed it. The world is directed towards multipolarity, where each pole, including Russia, will look for a way out of the global crisis. This way out is the only one for all - the transition from the market or chaotically organized economy to cyber economics that is working in order to improve the life on the Earth.
Preserving the current Government, Russia, at the same time, urgently needs to create a constructor center in order to develop the guidelines and all necessary regulatory documents to launch a strategic economic planning on the base of the dynamic model of inter-sectoral, inter-branch balance.
This model that takes into account the achievements of the entire world experience in the development of national accounts, forecasting and planning of the economy, as well as the economic and mathematical modeling, researched by the Soviet cybernetics Veduta N.I. can be found in the book "Inter-sectoral, inter-branch balance: mechanism of strategic economic planning" (Moscow: Akademproekt, 2016). Implementation of economic cyber systems the Russia is its national idea, as the country will not only survive in the global crisis, but also will become a brain center and will change the vector of globalization. Eventually, the whole world - is a single unit, that lives on the communicating vessels.